How PICKLR picks
Each game is scored by a transparent 6-factor logistic model, then an AI analyst writes the breakdown. Factor weights:
- Season record 30% — current win% for both teams
- Injuries 20% — out / IR / questionable impact on each roster
- Head-to-head 15% — last 5 meetings
- Home strength 15% — home win% and current home streak
- Weather 5% — game-day conditions (outdoor venues)
- Division 5% — division familiarity compresses margins
Kalshi's market-implied probabilities are shown alongside the model so you can see the edge. Analysis is for research and entertainment — not guaranteed betting advice. Data from ESPN, Kalshi and Open-Meteo public APIs.